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Seggie's 2014 Oscars Predictions

  • Seggie's 2014 Oscars Predictions

    …get your popcorn… add butter please…

     

    …and Diet Coke… less calories…

     

    …and take your seats… silence your phones!

     

    It’s time for the 2014 Oscars!

     

    2013 was a solid year for movies and for very solid roles, for both men and women.  In this blog, I’m going to preview the 2014 Oscars and give you my predictions.  I’ll move through each major category and give 2 outcomes, what SHOULD win and what WILL win.  For each prediction I get wrong, I PLEDGE… to do nothing.

     

    Ok…here we go!

     

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

     

    Who SHOULD win: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

    Who WILL win: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave

     

    I don’t think the Academy is going to give J-Law back-to-back Oscars.  Her performance of the incredibly passive aggressive wife of Christian Bale in American Hustle definitely warrants a win.  However, considering the subject matter and shock value of 12 Years A Slave, I think the Academy is going to give newcomer Lupita the award.  It just makes such a good story, doesn’t it?  Think back to 2010 when then new comer, Gabourey Sidibe (Precious) lost out to Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side).  I think the Academy realizes their mistake from 2010 and goes the opposite route here.

     

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

     

    Who SHOULD win: Jonah Hill, Wolf of Wall Street

    Who WILL win: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

     

    Jonah Hill was paid $60,000 before taxes to be in Wolf of Wall St.  Leo took home 10 million.  Let that sink in.  Jonah Hill essentially did this film for free (in Hollywood terms), just to have a chance to work with Scorcese.  That is respect.  Jonah Hill showed everyone that he could actually act in a non-fat-guy-comedic role in Moneyball and he does it again in this film, even though his character was funny.  It’s unfortunate for Hill that Dallas Buyers Club was released in the same year, because Jared Leto crushed his role.  He was almost unrecognizable the way he transformed himself for this movie.  I don’t think there’s any chance that Leto doesn’t win and its well deserved.

     

    Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

     

    Who SHOULD Win: Despicable Me 2

    Who WILL win: Frozen

    Frozen wins this solely because it wasn’t a sequel.  Despicable Me 2 was fantastic, but the Minions will have to watch the acceptance speech from the sidelines.

     

    Best Achievement in Cinematography

     

    Who SHOULD and WILL win: Gravity

     

    Cinematography was pretty much all this movie had for me.  The dialogue was bad and the acting was not great, especially Clooney’s phoned in performance.  This movie is deserving of THIS award.

     

    Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)

     

    Who SHOULD and WILL win: Happy, Despicable Me 2

     

    The groove of this song really captures the title of the song.  Pharrell wrote the perfect song to put anyone in a great mood.  You can’t do anything but smile when you hear this song.  If you haven’t heard this song, download it no and sit back and smile!

     

    Best Adapted Screenplay

     

    What SHOULD win: The Wolf of Wall Street

    What WILL win: 12 Years A Slave

     

    Again, I think this comes down to subject matter.  There’s been such a backlash against The Wolf of Wall Street for “glamorizing” the awful things that went on in that story.  That wasn’t the case.  The movie didn’t glamorize it.  The point of the movie is that it all catches up with you in the end.  That greedy and selfish lifestyle cannot last.  It will inevitably bring you and everyone else around you down. 

     

    Best Original Screenplay

     

    What SHOULD and WILL win: Her

     

    “But Seggie, American Hustle has been sweeping the critics off their feet!”.  I will say this: I imagine writing a screenplay based on a true story is a lot easier than making up the story from scratch.  You’ve got the bones of the story already laid out for you.  Sure, there is embellishments and artistic license, but still, the story is already there.  Spike Jonze wrote an incredibly smart story.  He made something that sounds ridiculous, believable.

     

     

    Best Achievement in Directing

     

    Who SHOULD win: Martin Scorcese, The Wolf of Wall Street

    Who WILL win: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity

     

    Many people LOVED Gravity.  I was not one of them.  Visually, the movie was incredible.  Stunning.  Everything else? Meh.  The script was elementary and the delivery wasn’t much better. If you saw Wolf, you know that many of these actors were asked to get out of their comfort zone.  The “Quaalude” scene alone displayed the brilliant directing by Scorcese.  All of that being said, Cuaron is the favorite to win this and he probably will, regardless of my opinion.

     

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

     

    Who SHOULD win: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

    Who WILL win: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

     

    This category is STACKED!  I can’t say enough about both of these women and their incredible performances.  Both of them are VERY deserving if they win.  After seeing August: Osage County, I walked out thinking to myself…name another actor in my lifetime that has more range than Meryl Streep.  I struggled to come up with any names.  In my mind, Meryl was an absolute lock for this award.  Then I saw Blue Jasmine.  I think Blanchett edges out Streep for this award.  Her ability to bring that super complex character to life was very impressive. 

     

     

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

     

    Who SHOULD and WILL win: Matthew McConaughey

     

    This category was toughest for me.  Everyone that knows me knows that I’m a huge Bale and DiCaprio fan.  I was so glad to see DiCaprio get a nod this year, but then realized that he probably won’t win.  Then there’s Bale.  You take Bale out of American Hustle, I bet the movie doesn’t get as much hype from critics.  He owned that movie and that character.  With all that said, Matthew McConaughey is the front runner here.  We can all be glad that he’s done making awful romcom’s with Kate Hudson and is back to being the great actor we all knew he could be after his performance in “A Time To Kill”.  It’s refreshing to see him come alive as of later with movies like Lincoln Lawyer, Mud, and now The Dallas Buyers Club.  He is very deserving of this honor and should feel even better knowing he beat out the great Christian Bale and Leonardo DiCaprio! Before we move on to the next category, I want to talk about Joaquin Phoenix getting snubbed.  You’ve heard about the Hanks and Redford snubs, but those are just big names, not snubs.  Joaquin Phoenix was absolutely incredible in Her.  For him to take a character that is in love with an operating system and make that believable, for him to have conversations alone in a room and to make it seem like he’s really talking to someone sitting next to him was stellar.  I know the Academy doesn’t care much for him, but its complete bs that he didn’t get, at the very least, a nomination.  He was worthy of one and he is definitely worthy of winning it too. 

     

    Best Motion Picture of the Year

     

    What SHOULD win: Her

    What WILL win: 12 Years A Slave

     

    There are so many opinions on this one.  Many people are picking “American Hustle” as the winner this year, but I’m not buying it.  No doubt the acting performances were very good in this movie, but in my opinion the acting in the movie was better than the actual movie itself.  I would love to see Wolf of Wall Street win, however, the Academy is going to bend to the backlash and not choose this as the winner.  Back to my 2 choices above; I’ve written a lot here about “Her” so I don’t want to babble and repeat, but it was really good.  However, I think the Academy is going to go with “12 Years A Slave”.  The movie was good, but I didn’t think it was great.  It’s tough with a movie of this subject matter, because if you criticize it, you’re going to be in the minority and people will make you out to be a bigot, which is unfortunate, because we are solely talking about movies here.  As I said in my review on twitter, this story was incredible and definitely needed to be told.  I think the movie fell short of doing this to its full potential.  I did not read the book, but I imagine it was much better told in writing than on the big screen.  All that being said, the Academy will not want to deal with any negative press or backlash, so this will be their pick as best motion picture of the year.

     

    And that’s a wrap! 

     

    Thank you for reading my blog about the upcoming Oscars.  I’m looking forward to March 2ndto see how my predictions stack up.  I truly enjoy film, and love being able to review films for all of our SNC fans.  If you disagreed with anything I’ve said, well, it’s ok, because knowing I’m right is good enough for me! There are hundreds of empty buckets of popcorn that qualify me as a self-certified expert!

     

    Seggie

    @sncseggie

    #seggiesmoviereviews

Seggie's picture
on January 29, 2014 - 5:41pm

…get your popcorn… add butter please…

 

…and Diet Coke… less calories…

 

…and take your seats… silence your phones!

 

It’s time for the 2014 Oscars!

 

2013 was a solid year for movies and for very solid roles, for both men and women.  In this blog, I’m going to preview the 2014 Oscars and give you my predictions.  I’ll move through each major category and give 2 outcomes, what SHOULD win and what WILL win.  For each prediction I get wrong, I PLEDGE… to do nothing.

 

Ok…here we go!

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

 

Who SHOULD win: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

Who WILL win: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave

 

I don’t think the Academy is going to give J-Law back-to-back Oscars.  Her performance of the incredibly passive aggressive wife of Christian Bale in American Hustle definitely warrants a win.  However, considering the subject matter and shock value of 12 Years A Slave, I think the Academy is going to give newcomer Lupita the award.  It just makes such a good story, doesn’t it?  Think back to 2010 when then new comer, Gabourey Sidibe (Precious) lost out to Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side).  I think the Academy realizes their mistake from 2010 and goes the opposite route here.

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

 

Who SHOULD win: Jonah Hill, Wolf of Wall Street

Who WILL win: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

 

Jonah Hill was paid $60,000 before taxes to be in Wolf of Wall St.  Leo took home 10 million.  Let that sink in.  Jonah Hill essentially did this film for free (in Hollywood terms), just to have a chance to work with Scorcese.  That is respect.  Jonah Hill showed everyone that he could actually act in a non-fat-guy-comedic role in Moneyball and he does it again in this film, even though his character was funny.  It’s unfortunate for Hill that Dallas Buyers Club was released in the same year, because Jared Leto crushed his role.  He was almost unrecognizable the way he transformed himself for this movie.  I don’t think there’s any chance that Leto doesn’t win and its well deserved.

 

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

 

Who SHOULD Win: Despicable Me 2

Who WILL win: Frozen

Frozen wins this solely because it wasn’t a sequel.  Despicable Me 2 was fantastic, but the Minions will have to watch the acceptance speech from the sidelines.

 

Best Achievement in Cinematography

 

Who SHOULD and WILL win: Gravity

 

Cinematography was pretty much all this movie had for me.  The dialogue was bad and the acting was not great, especially Clooney’s phoned in performance.  This movie is deserving of THIS award.

 

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)

 

Who SHOULD and WILL win: Happy, Despicable Me 2

 

The groove of this song really captures the title of the song.  Pharrell wrote the perfect song to put anyone in a great mood.  You can’t do anything but smile when you hear this song.  If you haven’t heard this song, download it no and sit back and smile!

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

 

What SHOULD win: The Wolf of Wall Street

What WILL win: 12 Years A Slave

 

Again, I think this comes down to subject matter.  There’s been such a backlash against The Wolf of Wall Street for “glamorizing” the awful things that went on in that story.  That wasn’t the case.  The movie didn’t glamorize it.  The point of the movie is that it all catches up with you in the end.  That greedy and selfish lifestyle cannot last.  It will inevitably bring you and everyone else around you down. 

 

Best Original Screenplay

 

What SHOULD and WILL win: Her

 

“But Seggie, American Hustle has been sweeping the critics off their feet!”.  I will say this: I imagine writing a screenplay based on a true story is a lot easier than making up the story from scratch.  You’ve got the bones of the story already laid out for you.  Sure, there is embellishments and artistic license, but still, the story is already there.  Spike Jonze wrote an incredibly smart story.  He made something that sounds ridiculous, believable.

 

 

Best Achievement in Directing

 

Who SHOULD win: Martin Scorcese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Who WILL win: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity

 

Many people LOVED Gravity.  I was not one of them.  Visually, the movie was incredible.  Stunning.  Everything else? Meh.  The script was elementary and the delivery wasn’t much better. If you saw Wolf, you know that many of these actors were asked to get out of their comfort zone.  The “Quaalude” scene alone displayed the brilliant directing by Scorcese.  All of that being said, Cuaron is the favorite to win this and he probably will, regardless of my opinion.

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

 

Who SHOULD win: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Who WILL win: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

 

This category is STACKED!  I can’t say enough about both of these women and their incredible performances.  Both of them are VERY deserving if they win.  After seeing August: Osage County, I walked out thinking to myself…name another actor in my lifetime that has more range than Meryl Streep.  I struggled to come up with any names.  In my mind, Meryl was an absolute lock for this award.  Then I saw Blue Jasmine.  I think Blanchett edges out Streep for this award.  Her ability to bring that super complex character to life was very impressive. 

 

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

 

Who SHOULD and WILL win: Matthew McConaughey

 

This category was toughest for me.  Everyone that knows me knows that I’m a huge Bale and DiCaprio fan.  I was so glad to see DiCaprio get a nod this year, but then realized that he probably won’t win.  Then there’s Bale.  You take Bale out of American Hustle, I bet the movie doesn’t get as much hype from critics.  He owned that movie and that character.  With all that said, Matthew McConaughey is the front runner here.  We can all be glad that he’s done making awful romcom’s with Kate Hudson and is back to being the great actor we all knew he could be after his performance in “A Time To Kill”.  It’s refreshing to see him come alive as of later with movies like Lincoln Lawyer, Mud, and now The Dallas Buyers Club.  He is very deserving of this honor and should feel even better knowing he beat out the great Christian Bale and Leonardo DiCaprio! Before we move on to the next category, I want to talk about Joaquin Phoenix getting snubbed.  You’ve heard about the Hanks and Redford snubs, but those are just big names, not snubs.  Joaquin Phoenix was absolutely incredible in Her.  For him to take a character that is in love with an operating system and make that believable, for him to have conversations alone in a room and to make it seem like he’s really talking to someone sitting next to him was stellar.  I know the Academy doesn’t care much for him, but its complete bs that he didn’t get, at the very least, a nomination.  He was worthy of one and he is definitely worthy of winning it too. 

 

Best Motion Picture of the Year

 

What SHOULD win: Her

What WILL win: 12 Years A Slave

 

There are so many opinions on this one.  Many people are picking “American Hustle” as the winner this year, but I’m not buying it.  No doubt the acting performances were very good in this movie, but in my opinion the acting in the movie was better than the actual movie itself.  I would love to see Wolf of Wall Street win, however, the Academy is going to bend to the backlash and not choose this as the winner.  Back to my 2 choices above; I’ve written a lot here about “Her” so I don’t want to babble and repeat, but it was really good.  However, I think the Academy is going to go with “12 Years A Slave”.  The movie was good, but I didn’t think it was great.  It’s tough with a movie of this subject matter, because if you criticize it, you’re going to be in the minority and people will make you out to be a bigot, which is unfortunate, because we are solely talking about movies here.  As I said in my review on twitter, this story was incredible and definitely needed to be told.  I think the movie fell short of doing this to its full potential.  I did not read the book, but I imagine it was much better told in writing than on the big screen.  All that being said, the Academy will not want to deal with any negative press or backlash, so this will be their pick as best motion picture of the year.

 

And that’s a wrap! 

 

Thank you for reading my blog about the upcoming Oscars.  I’m looking forward to March 2ndto see how my predictions stack up.  I truly enjoy film, and love being able to review films for all of our SNC fans.  If you disagreed with anything I’ve said, well, it’s ok, because knowing I’m right is good enough for me! There are hundreds of empty buckets of popcorn that qualify me as a self-certified expert!

 

Seggie

@sncseggie

#seggiesmoviereviews

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